Brendan Nyhan

Brendan Nyhan

@BrendanNyhan

Followers81.3K
Following14K

@Dartmouth poli sci professor, @UpshotNYT contributor, @BrightLineWatch co-organizer. Before: @fordschool @umich / @CJR / Spinsanity / All the President's Spin.

Hanover, NH
Joined on October 23, 2009
Statistics

We looked inside some of the tweets by @BrendanNyhan and here's what we found interesting.

Inside 100 Tweets

Time between tweets:
22 minutes
Average replies
80
Average retweets
474
Average likes
1312
Tweets with photos
16 / 100
Tweets with videos
0 / 100
Tweets with links
0 / 100
Does Joe Lockhart know anything about politics? https://t.co/whVYQCxyuL https://t.co/5wl3XdF3nz

Does Joe Lockhart know anything about politics? https://t.co/whVYQCxyuL https://t.co/5wl3XdF3nz

Why this is a bigger deal than Kennedy—> Kavanaugh: The ideological distance between Ginsburg and a new Trump appointee would be even greater.

Quoted @KatyTurNBC

Former prominent Republican leader texts: If they manage to confirm someone before Nov 3, I honestly believe it will have the opposite affect on the election. I think it motivates the liberal and anti-Trump Rs even more. Trump already has all the single-issue/judges voters.

They probably won’t confirm before. 46 days is probably too shot a window. Also they don’t want to force the actual vote for someone like Collins before then. https://t.co/NMK9opBYSS

Quoted @Bencjacobs

Trump is currently praising Robert E. Lee in Minnesota

More than 2,500 Minnesotans died during the Civil War to stop the seditious insurrection led by Lee’s army. https://t.co/aKodzCvitF

Ezra Klein
33 minutes ago

RBG was a pioneer, a brilliant jurist, and a moral force. Losing her is a tragedy. But it didn’t need to be a political crisis. We need to deescalate vacancies, and make them more predictable. It’s time for 18-year Supreme Court terms: https://t.co/7FWPnmeTtj

Some reason to think that SCOTUS vacancies slightly help Republicans electorally since R voters activated more by Courts. But worth noting that ActBlue is raising nearly $150,000 per minute over past half hour (roughly 10x normal pace). Lots of engaged liberals right now.

Dept of Homeland Security's intelligence division identifies white supremacists as the foremost threat to the 2020 elections, per intel assessment leaked to me:
https://t.co/PCn2m7Nx6K https://t.co/939lp3fKjR
2

Dept of Homeland Security's intelligence division identifies white supremacists as the foremost threat to the 2020 elections, per intel assessment leaked to me: https://t.co/PCn2m7Nx6K https://t.co/939lp3fKjR

Quoted @normative

... what happens if there’s a legal dispute about the election and SCOTUS is 4-4?

Or the new appointee is the decisive vote. And Biden wins the popular vote. https://t.co/S3jHYtdbB3

If you put aside wishful thinking, given the Senate map, SCOTUS is a relatively good issue for Senate Republicans in net (it only hurts them in ME). These senate incumbents would love to prime general partisanship and ideology instead of Trump and COVID.

I can also see McConnell gaming out that dangling the vacancy for after the election would be politically beneficial and then win or lose do it in the lame duck.

Thinking about this in terms of "will this help Trump get re-elected" is short sighted. I'm not sure liberals understand what's on the chopping block with a 6-3 very conservative majority. (Hint: affirmative action, abortion rights, environmental regs, voting rights, etc.)

One tricky thing electorally is that while I bet the public will favor waiting until 2021 to fill the seat, court packing itself is generally not very popular.  Tough needle to thread. https://t.co/xNJI20Xhia

One tricky thing electorally is that while I bet the public will favor waiting until 2021 to fill the seat, court packing itself is generally not very popular. Tough needle to thread. https://t.co/xNJI20Xhia

Quoted @joshHuder

McConnell will absolutely lose the Senate to fill a SCOTUS vacancy, and that’s probably what’s about to happen. https://t.co/fbh2fsd6Ny

This is most likely outcome. But ramming through a nominee would significantly raise chance of court packing (which I think was pretty small given SQ). Long term interests of GOP might be better served with 9-member Court with a solid 5-4 con. majority. https://t.co/fAI3l5xS00

Quoted @yvonnewingett

Mark Kelly could be sworn into the U.S. Senate early if he wins race, experts say https://t.co/oia1Y9PDh8 via @azcentral #azsen

This is suddenly an incredibly important development in #AZSen https://t.co/wTEIBhRMDC

There’s no chance a justice won’t be confirmed if 50 votes for him/her. With 53 seats, very unlikely there won’t be 50. Even if Collins/Murkowski bail, need 2 more. Likely result: new GOP justice, Dems get Senate, probability filibuster goes to pack court goes up. 2020, man.

In July, we began removing Tweets associated with QAnon from Trends and recommendations and not highlighting them in conversations and Search. Impressions on this content dropped by more than 50%, decreasing the amount of unhealthy and harmful content on timelines. (2/3)

Blockbuster: Trump administration emails obtained by The Times show attempts to browbeat career officials at the C.D.C. at the height of the pandemic, challenging the science behind their public statements and attempting to silence agency staff. https://t.co/9XAGyu7WRm

NEW: A major deal to lower drug costs collapsed when drug companies balked at a WH demand they pay for $100 cash cards (aka Trump Cards) to be mailed to seniors before November. Via @jmartNYT & @maggieNYT https://t.co/SHyU0UkMOF

Quoted @concit1USA

South Dakota governor uses coronavirus relief funds for $5 million tourism ad despite COVID surge https://t.co/9z2dM37aus via @CBSNews

The grift is strong with these people. "The 30-second spot, which premiered on Fox News alongside Noem's speech at the Republican National Convention last month..." They give Fox a cut, and it's a self-promotion ad to benefit her! https://t.co/aCoOqBQku2

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